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There's More to Tracking than Conversion

There's More to Tracking than Conversion

Tracking entire sales funnelOne of my coach­ing stu­dents recently asked me whether it’s bet­ter to offer a free trial or a $1 lim­ited time trial as an incen­tive to sign up for a paid newslet­ter subscription.

The answer involves the vital role of track­ing and test­ing through­out your entire sales funnel.

Gen­er­ally speak­ing, a free trial is likely to con­vert more vis­i­tors ini­tially, but the $1 trial may be the bet­ter choice over the long term. Such gen­er­al­iza­tions have lit­tle place in busi­ness. The only way to deter­mine the right answer for your busi­ness is to track and test the process from begin­ning to end.

It’s impor­tant to remem­ber that con­ver­sion rates are only half the equa­tion. What it comes down to is vis­i­tor value, not sim­ply what is bet­ter for short term sign-​​ups.

Before apply­ing the infor­ma­tion to the free trial vs. $1 trial ques­tion, let’s take at a hypo­thet­i­cal pay-​​per-​​click (PPC) cam­paign to illus­trate the con­cept of vis­i­tor value with sim­ple terms and calculations.

Say you spend $1,000 on a PPC cam­paign and gen­er­ate 10,000 vis­i­tors. Also, say your saleslet­ter con­verts at 1% and each sale is worth $50 to you. This means you generate:

  • 100 sales (1% of 10,000 visitors).
  • 100 x $50 each = $5,000 gross profits.
  • $5,000 divided by 10,000 vis­i­tors means each vis­i­tor is worth $0.50.

In a sec­ond cam­paign you choose to spend more for bet­ter key­words. You dou­ble your cam­paign costs to $2,000.

This time, the bet­ter key­words gen­er­ate more tar­geted vis­i­tors, but you end up with less traf­fic and only gen­er­ate 4,000 visitors.

On the sur­face, it looks like the smaller cam­paign brought in a bet­ter return, but it goes fur­ther than that.

Because the traf­fic from the sec­ond cam­paign is more qual­i­fied, the con­ver­sion rate on your sales let­ter will increase — per­haps dou­ble or even triple. Let’s say 3% in this exam­ple. Now, let’s do the math again. You generate:

  • 120 sales (3% of 4,000 vis­i­tors) at the same value of $50 per sale.
  • 120 x $50 each = $6,000 gross profits.
  • So, $6,000 divided by 4,000 vis­i­tors means each vis­i­tor is worth $1.50.

Once you’ve looked at the whole pic­ture rather than the con­ver­sion rate alone, the pic­ture changes. While you dou­bled your expenses in the sec­ond cam­paign, you tripled your vis­i­tor value and your over­all profits.

Since the vis­i­tors were more tar­geted and qual­i­fied it’s likely that these cus­tomers will stay longer, buy more and present less has­sles in terms of refunds, returns and complaints.

So the LIFETIME vis­i­tor value will increase sub­stan­tially, too.

Trans­lat­ing vis­i­tor value to the ques­tion of the free trial sub­scribers and $1 trial sub­scribers is a sim­i­lar process.

Take your track­ing beyond con­ver­sion rates and look at your entire fun­nel to deter­mine the more prof­itable sce­nario for your busi­ness. Are the free sub­scribers or $1 sub­scribers more likely to con­vert into full membership?

Another ele­ment of test­ing and track­ing through the whole process rather than focus­ing solely on con­ver­sion rates is that it will give you more infor­ma­tion to work with so you can improve stick­ing points through­out the sales cycle.

A more com­pre­hen­sive look at the process will show you exactly what is con­vert­ing, where you can improve, and where your bot­tle­necks are.

For exam­ple, if you have a typ­i­cal sales process with an opt-​​in page, fol­lowed by the saleslet­ter, and then the order page, as well as an autore­spon­der series for those who opt-​​in but don’t buy, you will learn:

  • Which page is con­vert­ing (or not);
  • Where peo­ple “stum­ble” or leave;
  • What to improve and test vari­a­tions of.

You will learn all that by tracking:

  • How many unique vis­i­tors opt-​​in.
  • How many buy from the salesletter.
  • How many buy from the order form.
  • And how many buy from your autore­spon­der follow-​​ups.

Know­ing this can tell you where you ARE con­vert­ing, and iden­tify your biggest bottleneck.

For exam­ple, if you have 40% who opt-​​in, and 5% of those who opt-​​in click to the order form to buy, but only 1% buy, this tells you that your bot­tle­neck is your order form!

A per­son who doesn’t track may jump to the con­clu­sion that the less than 1% con­ver­sion indi­cates a saleslet­ter issue, where proper track­ing would reveal that the issue is with the order form.

With track­ing, you can clearly see that your opt-​​in and saleslet­ter copy are indeed work­ing, but for some rea­son, peo­ple are leav­ing once they hit the order form.

This is why it’s impor­tant to look beyond con­ver­sions and develop a prac­tice of track­ing the entire sales process.

Whether your ques­tion is whether a free trial or $1 trial is a bet­ter choice or you are won­der­ing whether a par­tic­u­lar bonus is a good fit for your tar­get mar­ket, you will find the answers through track­ing and test­ing the entire sales fun­nel — and not just sales.

When you focus on the big­ger pic­ture, you can eas­ily cal­cu­late over­all cus­tomer value and iden­tify weak links in your sales process.

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Last 5 Posts By Michel Fortin

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This post was written on Thursday, March 13th, 2008. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
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  • Great post Michel,

    All to often we get lulled to sleep with generalizations and forget that you have to test everything. Also, having the insight to look to lifetime value will give you the ability to set yourself up to dominate your market because of how this sets things up to where you can, in essence, give away the front end and drive up costs for your competitors that don't follow the concept of determining that lifetime value. Again testing is the key to getting that data.
  • Hey Michel,

    My mentors constantly hammered home the #1 rule of Copywriting: don't make assumptions.

    Thank you for the reminder of the necessity of tracking each element thoroughly, until you uncover the actual root cause, not just the causes you assumed it would be. This just can't be done unless you are willing to thoroughly track end-to-end.

    Once again, the little extra effort, going one step beyond the normal, pays huge dividends.
  • Great point about tracking and measuring.

    Another issue is that it's hard not to allow yourself to get married to a particular message or offer, and procrastinate on making the changes you need to make to produce the results you want.
  • Joshua U
    How do we use this information? Would setting up multiple Google Analytic tests achieve this?
  • Not sure what your question is, Joshua. But if you're asking if Google Analytics can track this, the answer is "yes." It's one way.

    In Google Analytics, click on "goals" and set up a conversion goal. In the "The Defined Funnel Navigation" section, it asks you to list the various steps (i.e., URLs) people must go through to reach a desired goal. (In this case, the "thank you" page after a purchase.)

    For URLs, this includes the opt-in page, the sales page, the order form page, any upsell page in between, and the thank you page.
  • Michel, you bring up some very good points. I have been making money online for a while now, and have tried a little bit of everything. In the past I have ran both scenarios listed here successfully, that is both the free and $1 trials. I can't stress enough that it really does come down to tracking and product. Some products convert 10 times better with a paid trial while some won't convert at all with a paid trial. Its really an impossible question to answer with one direct response, as there are just to many factors that would determine it. Thanks for the article, it really helped to refresh my thoughts a lot.
  • Calculating customer value is definitely an overlooked metric for a lot of online businesses... and as your article demonstrates, overlooking this can be a big mistake.

    Thanks for another clear, concise, and informative article.
  • Great article, I would like to mention Google Analytics.. I have success stories utilizing the Goals Tool where you can Funnel and track the conversion so easily.
  • Maher,

    Thanks. You're absolutely right. And I mentioned it two comments ago (before yours):

    http://www.michelfortin.com/theres-more-to-trac...
  • Awesome article. Thanks! :-)
  • great article, you find this a lot with beginners who don't know how to see the bigger picture value of what they're doing. Similar to sticking with a high paying cpa offer because you like the idea of getting 10 bucks per sign up when in reality a lower but better converting offer will earn u more in the long run.
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